Ohio Housing Market Vitality

Market Rank

eleven

Ohio metro area house prices are forecasted to outperform the national market over the next twelve months. Currently, the market is outperforming the overall U.S. market. Compared to 12-months ago, Ohio’s housing market has strengthened. Current local economic conditions support an estimated 6.4% increase in house prices over the next twelve months. Based on the housing market vitality of the fourteen metro housing markets which comprise it, Ohio’s housing market ranks eleventh amongst all states and D.C. The three-month outlook is positive.

Housing Market Vitality

Housing Market Vitality summarizes the impact of economic conditions on house prices. A value of 100 corresponds to conditions supporting current price appreciation; values less than 100 correspond to a dampening effect and values greater than 100 indicate a positive impact on house prices. A housing market vitality value can be interpreted as a growth rate. Hence, a reading of 105.8 can be interpreted as a 5.8% annualized increase in house prices.

Ohio Metro Housing Markets

Ohio is comprised of fourteen metro housing markets that account for nearly 79% of the state’s population. The Buckeye State metro housing markets are unique in their demographics and local economies and exhibit trends that are distinct from the national and state narrative. Each metro market presents its own unique opportunity.

METRO AREA SITUATION OUTLOOK US METRO RANK (/402)
Akron, OH Outperforming Positive 86
Canton-Massillon, OH Outperforming Neutral 139
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN Outperforming Positive 116
Cleveland-Elyria, OH Outperforming Positive 76
Columbus, OH Outperforming Positive 73
Dayton, OH Outperforming Positive 94
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH Tracking Negative 293
Lima, OH Outperforming Positive 103
Mansfield, OH Outperforming Negative 160
Springfield, OH Outperforming Neutral 164
Toledo, OH Tracking Positive 171
Weirton-Steubenville, WV-OH Outperforming Negative 198
Wheeling, WV-OH Tracking Negative 226
Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA Underperforming Negative 296

Industry Specialization

Ohio’s state economy is specialized in Manufacturing and Edu Health svcs. Mining, Construction, and Information industry sectors are less important to the state economy compared to the national economy.

Industry specialization helps explain the differing impact of industry trends on local economies in contrast to industry composition which describes the structure of the economy. A Specialization Index value greater than 100 corresponds to the sector having a greater share of the state economy than it does of the national economy. Sectors with a Specialization Index greater than 120 characterize the local economy.

Demographics

Compared to the U.S., there is a lower incidence of poverty amongst Ohio residents and they have greater purchasing power. There are more high school graduates and a smaller proportion of the population is college educated. Ohio’s population is comparatively less diverse than the overall U.S. population.

A Demographics Index value greater than 100 corresponds to the factor being more intense in the state versus the national average. Characteristics of the local population is a longer-term factor that influences the housing market.

Data through November 2020