Market Report

Urban Honolulu, HI

Short-term forecast

Track

House price changes in the Urban Honolulu, HI metro market are forecasted to track the national market in the short term. Based on the housing market vitality metric, the market ranks 91 among 402 US metro housing markets. Currently, the metro market is outperforming the national market and performance is forecasted to deteriorate.

MARKET RANK
Mar 2020 Mar 2019
91 / 402 154 / 402
SITUATION
Mar 2020 Mar 2019
Outperforming Underperforming
OUTLOOK
Mar 2020 Mar 2019
Negative Positive

Forecasted Performance

The local housing market vitality is forecasted to deteriorate and performance will be in the middle fifty of all metro markets. Improvements in national economy and job market conditions lift the forecasted performance and changes in new construction conditions drag down the forecast.

Trailing 12-month Performance

Over the last twelve months, local housing market vitality improved significantly and performance is currently in the top quartile of all metro markets. Improvements in new construction conditions boosted trailing 12-month performance and changes in local economy and national economy conditions moderated performance.

Industry Specialization

The local economy is specialized in: Leisure Hosp, Pro Bus svcs, and Other svcs. Mining, Manufacturing, and Fncl activities industry sectors are less important to the local economy. Industry specialization helps explain the differing impact of industry trends on local economies in contrast to industry composition which describes the structure of the economy. A Specialization Index value greater than 100 corresponds to the sector having a greater share of the local economy than it does of the national economy. Sectors with a Specialization Index greater than 120 characterize the local economy.

Industry Composition

Accounting for 61% of the local business economy, the top three industry sectors are: Trade Trans Util, Pro Bus svcs, and Edu Health svcs. These industry sectors create the bulk of the jobs and earnings that power the local economy. Longer-term trends that impact these sectors will have an enduring effect on the local economy.

Market Demographics

Compared to the US, Urban Honolulu, HI metro market has a lower incidence of poverty and the local population has less purchasing power. There are more high school graduates and a larger proportion of the population is college educated. Lastly, the local population is more diverse than the overall US population. A Demographics Index value greater than 100 corresponds to the factor being more intense in the local market versus the national average. Characteristics of the local population is a longer-term factor that influences the housing market.