Market Report

Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA

Short-term forecast

Outperform

House price changes in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro market are forecasted to outperform the national market in the short term. Based on the housing market vitality metric, the market ranks 19 among 402 US metro housing markets. Currently, the metro market is outperforming the national market and performance is forecasted to remain unchanged.

MARKET RANK
Mar 2020 Mar 2019
19 / 402 179 / 402
SITUATION
Mar 2020 Mar 2019
Outperforming Underperforming
OUTLOOK
Mar 2020 Mar 2019
Positive Positive

Forecasted Performance

The local housing market vitality is forecasted to remain unchanged and performance will be in the top quartile of all metro markets. Improvements in local economy and job market conditions lift the forecasted performance and changes in national economy and new construction conditions moderate the forecast.

Trailing 12-month Performance

Over the last twelve months, local housing market vitality improved significantly and performance is currently in the top quartile of all metro markets. Improvements in new construction conditions boosted trailing 12-month performance and changes in job market conditions dragged down performance.

Industry Specialization

The local economy is specialized in: Mining, Information, and Leisure Hosp. Trade Trans Util, Other svcs, and Fncl activities industry sectors are less important to the local economy. Industry specialization helps explain the differing impact of industry trends on local economies in contrast to industry composition which describes the structure of the economy. A Specialization Index value greater than 100 corresponds to the sector having a greater share of the local economy than it does of the national economy. Sectors with a Specialization Index greater than 120 characterize the local economy.

Industry Composition

Accounting for 54% of the local business economy, the top three industry sectors are: Trade Trans Util, Manufacturing, and Pro Bus svcs. These industry sectors create the bulk of the jobs and earnings that power the local economy. Longer-term trends that impact these sectors will have an enduring effect on the local economy.

Market Demographics

Compared to the US, Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro market has a higher incidence of poverty and the local population has less purchasing power. There are fewer high school graduates and a larger proportion of the population is college educated. Lastly, the local population is less diverse than the overall US population. A Demographics Index value greater than 100 corresponds to the factor being more intense in the local market versus the national average. Characteristics of the local population is a longer-term factor that influences the housing market.